Russia’s gas business will never recover from the war in Ukraine

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When Russia’s leaders stopped a lot of the nation’s gasoline deliveries to the EU in 2022, they thought themselves good. Costs immediately shot up, enabling Russia to earn extra regardless of decrease export volumes. In the meantime, Europe, which purchased 40% of its gasoline from Russia in 2021, braced itself for inflation and blackouts. But two years later, owing to delicate winters and massive imports of liquefied pure gasoline (LNG) from America, Europe’s gasoline tanks are fuller than ever. And Gazprom, Russia’s state-owned gasoline big, is unable to make any income.

Russia was all the time going to wrestle to redirect the 180bn cubic metres (bcm) of gasoline, price 80% of its whole exports of the gas in 2021, that it as soon as offered to Europe. The nation has no equal to Nord Stream, a conduit to Germany, that permits it to pipe gasoline to clients elsewhere. It additionally lacks vegetation to sit back gas to -160°C and the specialised tankers required to ship LNG. Till lately, this was solely a minor annoyance. Between 2018 and 2023 simply 20% of the entire contribution of hydrocarbon exports to the Russian finances got here from gasoline, and regardless of sanctions Russia continues to promote numerous oil at a superb worth.



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