Market Talk – February 28, 2023

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ASIA:

India’s Gross Home Product (GDP) development slowed to a three-quarter low of 4.4 p.c in October-December 2022-23 primarily because of a 1.1 p.c contraction in manufacturing, together with weaker non-public consumption demand and authorities expenditure, in keeping with information launched by the Nationwide Statistical Workplace (NSO) on Tuesday. Slowing from 6.3 p.c in July-September and 13.2 p.c in April-June quarter, the third quarter mirrored the influence of subdued consumption demand and exports amid rising enter prices and rates of interest because the Reserve Financial institution of India remained centered on “withdrawal of lodging.” The fourth quarter GDP estimate at 5.1 p.c is manner increased than the projection of 4.2 per cent for This fall given by the Reserve Financial institution of India (RBI) in its December coverage evaluation (with FY23 development estimate at 6.8 p.c). Chief Financial Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran stated manufacturing, on the face of it, has slowed down however there are sufficient high-frequency indicators exhibiting pretty strong manufacturing exercise.

The key Asian inventory markets had a blended day at present:

  • NIKKEI 225 elevated 21.60 factors or 0.08% to 27,445.56
  • Shanghai elevated 21.57 factors or 0.66% to three,279.61
  • Hold Seng decreased 157.57 factors or -0.79% to 19,785.94
  • ASX 200 elevated 33.60 factors or 0.47% to 7,258.40
  • Kospi elevated 10.21 factors or 0.42% to 2,412.85
  • SENSEX decreased 326.23 factors or -0.55% to 58,962.12
  • Nifty50 decreased 88.75 factors or -0.51% to 17,303.95

 

 

The key Asian foreign money markets had a blended day at present:

  • AUDUSD elevated 0.00177 or 0.26% to 0.67517
  • NZDUSD elevated 0.00382 or 0.62% to 0.62042
  • USDJPY decreased 0.415 or -0.30% to 135.785
  • USDCNY decreased 0.01333 or -0.19% to six.94587

 

Treasured Metals:

  • Gold elevated 12.95 USD/t oz. or 0.71% to 1,830.26
  • Silver elevated 0.349 USD/t. ouncesor 1.69% to twenty.973

 

Some financial information from final evening:

Japan:

Industrial Manufacturing (MoM) (Jan) decreased from 0.3% to -4.6%

Retail Gross sales (YoY) (Jan) elevated from 3.8% to six.3%

Australia:

Present Account (This fall) elevated from -2.3B to 14.1B

Non-public Sector Credit score (MoM) (Jan) elevated from 0.3% to 0.4%

Retail Gross sales (MoM) (Jan) elevated from -3.9% to 1.9%

New Zealand:

ANZ Enterprise Confidence (Feb) elevated from -52.0 to -43.3

 

Some financial information from at present:

India:

GDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q3) decreased from 6.3% to 4.4%

 

EUROPE/EMEA:

Creating a resilient, secure and safe central financial institution digital foreign money (CBDC) for the UK, often called the Digital Pound, will take no less than 5 years in keeping with the deputy governor of the Financial institution of England Sir Jon Cunliffe. This may contain working with the monetary companies sector and personal firms, he advised MPs analyzing the necessity for such a expertise. Creating a resilient, secure and safe central financial institution digital foreign money (CBDC) for the UK, often called the Digital Pound, will take no less than 5 years in keeping with the deputy governor of the Financial institution of England Sir Jon Cunliffe. This may contain working with the monetary companies sector and personal firms, he advised MPs analyzing the necessity for such a expertise. The Treasury introduced earlier this month that it could decide on whether or not to launch a Digital Pound by 2025, giving the Financial institution of England and industrial companions time to check and examine the expertise. It adopted a session paper printed by the Financial institution of England that stated some extent of CBDC can be wanted sooner or later.

The key Europe inventory markets had a unfavourable day:

  • CAC 40 decreased 27.62 factors or -0.38% to 7,267.93
  • FTSE 100 decreased 58.83 factors or -0.74% to 7,876.28
  • DAX 30 decreased 16.29 factors or -0.11% to fifteen,365.14

 

The key Europe foreign money markets had a blended day at present:

  • EURUSD decreased 0.00039 or -0.04% to 1.06031
  • GBPUSD elevated 0.00321 or 0.27% to 1.20941
  • USDCHF elevated 0.002 or 0.21% to 0.93760

 

Some financial information from Europe at present:

France:

French Shopper Spending (MoM) (Jan) elevated from -1.6% to 1.5%

French CPI (MoM) (Feb) elevated from 0.4% to 0.9%

French GDP (QoQ) (This fall) stay the identical at 0.1%

French GDP (YoY) decreased from 1.0% to 0.5%

Swiss:

KOF Main Indicators (Feb) elevated from 97.4 to 100

GDP (YoY) (This fall) stay the identical at 0.8%

GDP (QoQ) (This fall) decreased from 0.2% to 0.0%

Spain:

Spanish CPI (YoY) elevated from 5.9% to six.1%

Spanish HICP (YoY) (Feb) elevated from 5.9% to six.1%

US/AMERICAS:

Individuals are shedding confidence within the US financial system as the price of residing continues to rise. The Convention Board’s Shopper Confidence Index fell this February for the second month in a row. The index is now 102.9, beneath January’s studying of 106. The Current Scenario Index, calculating shoppers’ evaluation of the present market circumstances, was barely increased in February coming in at 152.8 in comparison with final month’s studying of 151.1. Nonetheless, shoppers don’t count on these circumstances to final. The Expectations Index fell to 69.7 whereas January’s determine was revised right down to 76. The Expectation Index studying beneath 80 usually signifies a looming recession, and on this case, it has been beneath that degree for 11 of the final 12 months.

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined 232.39 factors or -0.71% to 32,656.7
  • S&P 500 declined 12.09 factors or -0.3% to three,970.15
  • Nasdaq declined 11.44 factors or -0.1% to 11,455.54
  • Russell 2000 superior 0.72 of a degree or 0.04% to 1,896.99

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite delined 38.94 factors or -0.19% to twenty,221.19
  • TSX 60 declined 3.52 factors or -0.29% to 1,216.73

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 779.12 factors or -0.74% to 104,931.93

 

ENERGY:

 

The oil markets had a blended day at present:

 

  • Crude Oil elevated 1.663 USD/BBL or 2.20% to 77.343
  • Brent elevated 1.253 USD/BBL or 1.53% to 83.293
  • Pure gasoline decreased 0.0927 USD/MMBtu or -3.39% to 2.6383
  • Gasoline elevated 0.051 USD/GAL or 1.97% to 2.6350
  • Heating oil elevated 0.0097 USD/GAL or 0.35% to 2.8100

 

The above information was collected round 13:06 EST on Tuesday

 

  • Prime commodity gainers: Crude Oil (2.20%), HRC Metal (7.05%), Copper (2.14%) and Lumber (2.83%)
  • Prime commodity losers: Oat (-4.77%), Rhodium (-2.34%), Butter (-2.02%) and Pure Fuel (-3.39%)

 

The above information was collected round 13:12 EST Tuesday.

 

 

BONDS:

 

Japan 0.500% (-0.2bp), US 2’s 4.80% (+0.004%), US 10’s 3.9317% (+0.97bps); US 30’s 3.94% (+0.021%), Bunds 2.641% (+5.4bp), France 3.108% (+5.7bp), Italy 4.449% (+2.8bp), Turkey 9.99% (-28bp), Greece 4.482% (+8.3bp), Portugal 3.534% (+6.1bp); Spain 3.67% (+4.8bp) and UK Gilts 3.817% (+0.7bp).



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