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QUESTION: Pricey Sir,
Hi there from Europe and a hopeful new 12 months.
In WW2 in Athens, individuals had been exchanging their residences for a couple of liters of olive oil, therefore actual property went actually down.
The quick query that you could reply even with a sure or no:
If this 12 months’s aggressivity when it comes to warfare actions will rise, what occurs? Will actual property fall on the primary stage after which – resulting from governmental actions – will rise once more?
It’s a bit complicated whereas I’m attempting to know the mechanism… economic system just isn’t easy in any respect.
Thanks.
SM
ANSWER: The true reality about actual property and warfare, declines the nearer you get to the motion. After we take a look at our fashions for European actual property, it clearly reveals 2023 as a directional change and it seems to be heading right into a Panic Cycle for 2027. Our leaders venture like we must always all go cost into Russia and defeat it in a matter of weeks or simply days. Apart from the truth that they by no means talk about that civilian deaths are twice as excessive as navy, in addition they by no means speak about how the web value of everybody in Europe will decline. Your own home will decline in worth for (1) individuals are not concerned with shopping for a brand new residence in instances of uncertainty, and (2) rates of interest will rise sharply resulting from inflation which can also be a part of the warfare cycle.
Lydia, in trendy Turkey the place cash had been invented, reveals the influence of warfare. It was Lydia v Particular person (Cyrus the Nice) and we see the very first debasement in recorded historical past which accompanies warfare. The coinage was debased exhibiting roughly a 25% devaluation within the buying energy throughout the sixth century BC.
The Peloponnesian Struggle in Greece noticed the Athenian Owl decreased from silver to bronze and simply silver plated. We discover the identical development in Rome. There may be NEVER any exception to this rule.
Beware, because the West insists upon increasing this warfare, you might be sacrificing all of your life financial savings in actual property for the political nonsense of our leaders in Europe as an entire. They’re true warfare criminals. They might settle this in a day. Simply honor the Minsk Settlement.
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