Market Talk – November 1, 2022

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ASIA:

Japan’s manufacturing unit output fell in September for the primary time in 4 months as producers grappled with rising uncooked supplies prices and world financial slowdown and is more likely to fall once more subsequent month earlier than selecting up in November, the federal government mentioned. Manufacturing unit output fell a seasonally adjusted 1.6% in September from a month earlier, authorities information confirmed on Monday, deeper than economists’ median forecast of a 1.0% decline. That marked the primary month-on-month fall in 4 months and adopted a 2.7% rise in August. A 12.4% decline in auto-related manufacturing – the sector’s steepest fall in eight months – drove down the general index. Automakers and suppliers have struggled with a scarcity of semiconductors, exacerbated by COVID-19 lockdown measures in China the place many Japanese companies have factories or suppliers. Reuters reported final week that Toyota Motor Corp has instructed suppliers to decrease manufacturing targets for 2022.

In a brighter signal for the world’s third-largest financial system, retail gross sales grew for a seventh consecutive month, elevating hope for a sustainable enhance in consumption after the easing of COVID-19-related inbound border controls earlier in October.

 

 

The main Asian inventory markets had a inexperienced day at this time:

  • NIKKEI 225 elevated 91.46 factors or 0.33% to 27,678.92
  • Shanghai elevated 75.72 factors or 2.62% to 2,969.20
  • Dangle Seng elevated 768.25 factors or 5.23% to fifteen,455.27
  • Kospi elevated 41.61 factors or 1.81% to 2,335.22
  • ASX 200 elevated 113.40 factors or 1.65% to six,976.90
  • SENSEX elevated 374.76 factors or 0.62% to 61,121.35
  • Nifty50 elevated 133.20 factors or 0.74% to 18,145.40

 

 

The main Asian foreign money markets had a blended day at this time:

  • AUDUSD decreased 0.00152 or -0.24% to 0.63925
  • NZDUSD elevated 0.00302 or 0.52% to 0.58432
  • USDJPY decreased 0.67 or -0.45% to 148.063
  • USDCNY decreased 0.03782 or -0.52% to 7.29778

 

 

Valuable Metals:

  • Gold elevated 10.50 USD/t oz. or 0.64% to 1,643.62
  • Silver elevated 0.503 USD/t. ozor 2.63% to 19.644

 

Some financial information from final evening:

China:

Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Oct) elevated from 48.1 to 49.2

Australia:

RBA Curiosity Price Resolution (Nov) elevated from 2.60% to 2.85%

Manufacturing PMI decreased from 53.5 to 52.7

New Zealand:

Constructing Consents (MoM) (Sep) elevated from -1.6% to three.8%

 

Some financial information from at this time:

Hong Kong:

Retail Gross sales (YoY) (Sep) elevated from -0.1% to 0.2%

India:

Nikkei S&P International Manufacturing PMI (Oct) elevated from 55.1 to 55.3

New Zealand:

GlobalDairyTrade Value Index elevated from -4.6% to -3.9%

 

 

EUROPE/EMEA:

 

The Financial institution of England obtained stable demand from buyers on Tuesday at its first public sale to promote authorities bonds from its 838 billion kilos ($961 billion) quantitative easing stockpile. The BoE goals to promote 6 billion kilos of gilts throughout eight auctions in November and December, as a part of a plan to cut back its gilt holdings by 80 billion kilos over 12 months by way of a mixture of gross sales and never reinvesting cash from maturing gilts. Britain’s central financial institution is the primary amongst main economies to begin outright gross sales of presidency bonds – partially due to the lengthy common maturity of its holdings, in comparison with these held by central banks in the USA and Canada. There was little fast market response to the public sale consequence. Benchmark five-year gilt yields held broadly regular at 3.56%, 4 foundation factors down on the day and little modified from their degree earlier than the public sale. There was little fast market response to the public sale consequence. Benchmark five-year gilt yields held broadly regular at 3.56%, 4 foundation factors down on the day and little modified from their degree earlier than the public sale.

 

The main Europe inventory markets had a inexperienced day:

  • CAC 40 elevated 61.48 factors or 0.98% to six,328.25
  • FTSE 100 elevated 91.63 factors or 1.29% to 7,186.16
  • DAX 30 elevated 85.00 factors or 0.64% to 13,338.74

 

The main Europe foreign money markets had a adverse day at this time:

  • EURUSD decreased 0.00275 or -0.28% to 0.98589
  • GBPUSD decreased 0.00242 or -0.21% to 1.14451
  • USDCHF decreased 0.00011 or -0.01% to 1.00099

 

Some financial information from Europe at this time:

UK:

Manufacturing PMI (Oct) decreased from 48.4 to 46.2

Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Oct) decreased from 0.0% to -0.9%

Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Oct) decreased from 9.5% to 7.2%

Swiss:

SECO Client Local weather (This fall) elevated from -42 to -38

procure.ch PMI (Oct) decreased from 57.1 to 54.9

 

US/AMERICAS:

The choice-making department of the Federal Reserve met for its two-day assembly this Tuesday. The Federal Open Market Committee is predicted to lift charges once more, with the market pricing in a 75 bps hike. This is able to mark the fourth consecutive 75 bps soar in charges. Inflation remains to be far past the two% goal in each space, and all Fed members appear poised to proceed climbing charges till progress turns into obvious and regular.

Job openings within the US reached 10.72 million in September, in response to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The US workforce stays tight, and there are 1.9 openings per obtainable employee. The employer value index is rising by round 5% yearly. The nonfarm payrolls report for October is ready to be launched on Friday, offering one other good indicator of the US workforce power. Analysts expect an addition of 205,000 positions after hiring fell in September to 252,000.

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined 79.94 factors or -0.24% to 32,653.01
  • S&P 500 declined 15.91 factors or -0.41% to three,856.07
  • Nasdaq declined 97.3 factors or -0.89% to 10,890.85
  • Russell 2000 superior 4.53 factors or 0.25% to 1,851.39

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite superior 91.57 factors or 0.47% to 19,517.71
  • TSX 60 superior 4.73 factors or 0.4% to 1,181.74

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa superior 891.58 factors or 0.77% to 116,928.66

 

ENERGY:

 

The oil markets had a blended day at this time:

 

  • Crude Oil elevated 2.007 USD/BBL or 2.32% to 88.537
  • Brent elevated 2.028 USD/BBL or 2.19% to 94.838
  • Pure gasoline decreased 0.6666 USD/MMBtu or -10.49% to five.6884
  • Gasoline elevated 0.0735 USD/GAL or 2.91% to 2.5992
  • Heating oil decreased 0.0201 USD/GAL or -0.55% to three.6540

 

The above information was collected round 12:43 EST on Tuesday

 

  • Prime commodity gainers: Bitumen (3.99%), Palm Oil (4.42%), Cotton (4.19%) and Rice (3.90%)
  • Prime commodity losers: Espresso (-1.72%), Pure Fuel (-10.49%), Rhodium (-0.71%) and Rapeseed Oil (-1.77%)

 

The above information was collected round 12:52 EST on Tuesday

 

 

BONDS:

 

Japan 0.250%(+1bp), US 2’s 4.54% (+0.035%), US 10’s 4.0523% (-2.47bps); US 30’s 4.12% (-0.083%), Bunds 2.136% (-1.4bp), France 2.675% (-1bp), Italy 4.271% (-3.5bp), Turkey 11.25% (+26p), Greece 4.581% (-0.9bp), Portugal 3.157% (-0.8bp); Spain 3.221% (-3.4bp) and UK Gilts 3.47% (-5.8bp).



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